Pollster Frank Luntz: If Trump defies polls again 'my profession is done'

Quite similar to the disparity today.

             

I’m still counting on the silent majority. Also, the polls are skewed in Biden’s favor, just like Hillary, because of their deep hatred of Trump. If the MSM genuinely believed Trump was ahead in the polls do you think they would admit it? Look at all the bad press Trump gets every day. Yet they completely ignored Hunter Biden's laptop, a MAJOR story, disastrous information naming Joe as 'the big guy' and incriminating emails exposing Joe's lies. Now imagine the shoe on the other foot and that was Don Jr's laptop?

As I stated before it is preposterous the Durham Report won’t be released until after the election, and now God forbid Joe’s elected, Hunter Biden’s laptop is no more.

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Biden leads in polls, though some are skeptical of a Biden win given the 2016 presidential upset

Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum give you a sneak peek of tonight's final presidential debate, what to expect from each candidate, and more from around the nation.

Republican pollster Frank Luntz told Fox News’ Bret Baier on Thursday night, that his "profession is done" if President Trump wins re-election come Nov. 3, and proves the national polls wrong yet again.

“I hate to acknowledge it, because that's my industry — at least partially — but the public will have no faith. No confidence. Right now, the biggest issue is the trust deficit,” Luntz said in response to Baier asking how pollsters will fare if they are wrong in predicting the 2020 presidential election. “Pollsters did not do a good job in 2016. So, if Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden had a 5- or 6-point lead, my profession is done."

National polls largely show Biden with a lead over Trump with two weeks until the presidential election.

Real Clear Politics, which pools together several national polls and takes the average, shows Biden up by 7.9 points, though in battleground states the former vice president is only up by 3.8 points – well within margin of error, which generally hovers around plus or minus four points.

Hillary Clinton was projected to win in 2016, with polling consistently similar to Biden’s.

FiveThirtyEight’s election project gave Clinton an 86 percent chance of winning during this point in the last presidential race. Biden is currently projected to win with an 88 percent probability.

Some polls appear to show a tighter race in their polling this time around. But Luntz, a GOP pollster, still thinks that Biden will win the presidency after claiming that Trump won the second and final presidential debate Thursday.

“You've got to give Trump a minor victory because he’ll bring some [undecided] voters home, and it’ll close the race a little bit," Luntz told CNBC’s “Squawk Box" Friday. "But in the end, I think Joe Biden won the war.”

Clinton also faced obstacles that Biden is not necessarily struggling with.

Clinton was running in the post-Obama administration era and reports after the 2016 upset showed that voters were intrigued by Trump’s unusual, non-political behavior and ready for a shift in Washington.

The other major factor that will come into play during the 2020 election is the number of voters who were disillusioned with the 2016 presidential race and opted not to vote at all.

Although more people are expected to vote early during the 2020 presidential election, opposed to waiting until Election Day to vote in-person, more than 38 percent of the number of votes cast in 2016 have already been recorded with two weeks remaining until the General Election, according to the U.S. Election Project. 

Democrats so far have cast their vote at a rate nearly double that of Republicans, though as early polling stations are opening the ratio will likely start to even out.

Pollster Frank Luntz: If Trump defies polls again 'my profession is done'

Hunter Biden's Laptop Probe Referred to FBI, Delaware State Police Say

1. If the FBI has this laptop in their possession I hope the hell they (Giuliani) had the sense to make a copy of everything on it.

2. Rest assured…If Biden wins you’ll never hear about this again.

3. Joe's other option....

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The Delaware state police have passed on an inquiry concerning the laptop purportedly belonging to Democratic Presidential Nominee Joe Biden's son, Hunter Biden, to the FBI.

On Tuesday, President Donald Trump's personal attorney Rudy Giuliani told Newsmax that he handed over the laptop that he claims belongs to Hunter Biden to the Delaware state police on Monday.

"In light of ongoing questions about the credibility of these claims and multiple reports that the FBI is investigating their veracity, law enforcement is referring this matter to the FBI," a Delaware State Police spokesperson told Newsweek. The Delaware State Police also confirmed that they are not in possession of the laptop.

Newsweek reached out to the FBI for further information and Biden's campaign for comment.

Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe and House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff accused each other of politicizing intelligence on Monday over emails allegedly found on the laptop.

More than 50 former senior intelligence officials signed a letter on Monday detailing their belief that the laptop "has all the classic earmarks of a Russian information operation."

After Schiff called revelations stemming from the laptop a Kremlin "smear" campaign, Ratcliffe on Monday insisted that the laptop "is not part of some Russian disinformation campaign."

"Let me be clear: The intelligence community doesn't believe that because there is no intelligence that supports that. And we have shared no intelligence with Adam Schiff, or any member of Congress," he said.

In a statement to Newsweek, a spokesperson for Schiff accused Ratcliffe of "purposefully misrepresenting" the Democrat's words to "mislead the public" and help Trump.

"The Intelligence Community has stated publicly that Russia is once again seeking to benefit Donald Trump's election campaign by denigrating Joe Biden with attacks the Treasury Department described as, 'false and unsubstantiated narratives' ... designed to culminate prior to Election Day," the statement read.

The controversial emails allegedly written by the son of the Democratic presidential nominee were obtained by the New York Post and appear to show terms of agreements with Chinese and Ukrainian companies. The Post's story has not been corroborated by mainstream news outlets and is based on the accounts of two people close to Trump: Giuliani and Stephen Bannon.

The emails were reportedly found on a laptop that was left behind at a New Jersey computer repair store in 2019. But the store's legally blind owner John Macissac was unable to identify whether the computer was dropped off by Hunter Biden.

Biden campaign spokesperson Andrew Bates has asserted that the candidate has "engaged in no wrongdoing," but did not deny that the laptop belonged to Hunter Biden.

"Investigations by the press, during impeachment, and even by two Republican-led Senate committees whose work was decried as 'not legitimate' and political by a GOP colleague have all reached the same conclusion: that Joe Biden carried out official U.S. policy toward Ukraine and engaged in no wrongdoing. Trump administration officials have attested to these facts under oath,' Bates said in a statement.

One of the emails in question suggests that Hunter Biden arranged a meeting between his father and a top executive at a Ukrainian energy firm in 2015, when the then-vice president was in charge of Ukraine-U.S. policy. Bates said a review of Biden's schedule found no evidence that such a meeting had taken place.

While some questioned the validity of the allegations, calling it a political hit job, Trump has used the laptop as ammunition for attacking Biden. With less than two weeks left to Election Day, the president on Tuesday vowed to focus on pressing the former vice president about the allegations leveled at his son.

Hunter Biden's Laptop Probe Referred to FBI, Delaware State Police Say

This really pisses me off

 

China’s economy grows 4.9% while the rest of the world is crippled by coronavirus

Just like they planned.

BTW…have you heard one Democrat call China out instead of blaming Trump?

China’s economy has grown 4.9 percent in the third quarter from last year proving the country is back to its pre-pandemic trajectory with consumer spending and industrial production going back to normal levels.

China fell short in the third quarter of its forecast for growth between 5.5 percent and 6 percent predicted at the start of the year before COVID-19 ravaged the globe, killing more than a million people and crippling the global economy.

China has bounced back quickly despite being the first country to suffer the coronavirus outbreak. As the virus spread across the globe, China started to handle their outbreak and began to reopen their economy, growing 6.8 percent in the first quarter of this year, and 3.2 percent in the April-June quarter.

Now the International Monetary Fund is projecting China’s economy to expand by 1.9 percent in 2020 which means it’ll the only major world economy to grow this year.

China’s economy has grown 4.9 percent in the last quarter from last year proving the country is back to its pre-pandemic trajectory with consumer spending and industrial production going back to normal levels. Employees work in a production line at a wigs factory in Hezhang County, Guizhou Province of China on October 16

 

Workers are seen during the production process of wind turbines during a government organised tour at Goldwind Technology in Yancheng, in Jiangsu province on October 14

 

By contrast the US economy is expected to shrink by 4.3 percent this year and Eurozone by 8.3 percent, the IMF announced in its latest update shared this month.

Not only is China’s gross domestic product growing, unemployment fell to 5.4 percent in September and industrial production rose 5.8 percent in July through September over the same quarter last year.

Retail sales rose 0.9 percent over a year earlier. On Monday China said retail sales grew 3.3 percent in September, surpassing economist expectations for 1.7 percent.

Chinese citizens' disposable income also increased in the third quarter for the first time this year, rising 0.6 percent from a year earlier, according to the Wall Street Journal.

The recovery of Asia’s largest economy is good news for other countries that rely heavily on trade with China, including Japan. It reported Monday that its exports fell at a slower pace in September from a year earlier, partly thanks to higher demand from China.

The Nikkei 225 index added 1.1 percent to 23,672.60 while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng climbed 0.8 percent to 24,591.92. In South Korea, the Kospi jumped 0.9 percent to 2,362.49 while the S&P/ASX 200 in Australia surged 1 percent to 6,237.60.

The Shanghai Composite index logged a more modest gain, picking up 0.3 percent to 3,346.61 as the relatively strong economic data doused the chances for major stimulus measures that might help boost markets. 

Not only is China’s gross domestic product growing, unemployment fell to 5.4 percent in September, industrial production rose 5.8 percent in July through September over the same quarter last year, and retail sales rose 0.9% over a year earlier

 

Meanwhile, hopes for new stimulus for the U.S. economy were muted, with House Speaker Nancy Pelosi saying time is running out to get measures passed before the Nov. 3 election. 

Wall Street closed out a choppy week of trading with more of the same Friday, as a late-afternoon stumble led U.S. stock indexes to a mixed finish.

The S&P 500 rose 0.47 points to 3,483.81. The Dow gained 112.11 points, or 0.4%, to 28,606.31. At one point, it had been up by 348 points. The Nasdaq fell 42.32 points, or 0.4%, to 11,671.56. The Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks dropped 5.08 points, or 0.3%, to 1,633.81.

The S&P 500 ended the day just a fraction of a point higher at 3,483.81. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4%, to 28,606.31. The Nasdaq fell 0.4% to 11,671.56, while the Russell 2000 index of small-cap stocks dropped 0.3% to 1,633.81.

By contrast the US economy is expected to shrink by 4.3 percent this year and Eurozone by 8.3 percent, the IMF announced in its latest update shared this month. A man stands outside a temporarily shut down Coneworld in London above

 

 

The US is reeling from a surge in unemployment and food insecurity sparked by the pandemic. People wait in line to receive food at a distribution site at a Bronx church in New York City on Friday

Big Tech and energy companies fell while health care and industrial stocks rose.

The mixed performance matched the mixed data: the U.S. government reported that retail sales rose in September for the fifth straight month, while the Federal Reserve said U.S. industrial production had its weakest showing since the spring.

Stock indexes have recouped most of their losses from a swoon as talks between Democrats and Republicans on an economic stimulus package failed to deliver results. Investors have been hoping that Washington would provide more financial support for the economy since July, when a $600-a-week extra benefit for the unemployed expired.

On Thursday, the government’s said the number of Americans seeking unemployment aid increased last week to 898,000, a historically high level reflecting the weakness due to the pandemic and ensuing recession.

Rising coronavirus caseloads across the globe have left investors cautious as governments impose restrictions to contain outbreaks.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 0.76% from 0.74%.

U.S. benchmark crude oil lost 17 cents to $40.95 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It gave up 12 cents on Friday to $41.12 per barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, lost 16 cents to $42.77.

In currency dealings, the dollar rose to 105.43 Japanese yen from 105.40 on Friday. The euro slipped to $1.1706 from $1.1717.

 

This really pisses me off

Biden: "These are the questions you always ask"...REALLY?

This coming from Joe who has got nothing but the kid-glove treatment from the media. 

Finally someone in the media asked him about his crackhead...I mean son.

Wearing two face masks. One to reduce the risk posed by the coronavirus, the other to stop him from talking about Hunter.

I asked Joe Biden: What is your response to the NYPost story about your son, sir?

He called it a “smear campaign” and then went after me. “I know you’d ask it. I have no response, it’s another smear campaign, right up your alley, those are the questions you always ask.” pic.twitter.com/Eo6VD4TqxD

— Bo Erickson CBS (@BoKnowsNews) October 17, 2020

 

Biden: "These are the questions you always ask"...REALLY?

FaceTime with Hunter

 

When Joe said,  ‘media’…made me wonder how much he slipped Stephanopoulos?

(Click to enlarge)

FaceTime with Hunter